✌️
Two-Point Conversions
When & why teams go for 2
2 pts
if successful
0 pts
if failed
~49%
NFL success rate
⚡ Down by 8 Late
You just scored a TD to make it 22-15. Go for 2 to make it 22-17 (one score game).
A PAT makes it 22-16 — still a 2-possession game. A 2-pointer makes it a 1-possession game, dramatically improving comeback odds.
✅ Scoreboard Math Chart
NFL teams follow a 2-point conversion chart based on score differential.
Bill Belichick popularized the 'conversion chart' — a predetermined decision tree based on which point total is more valuable.
🧮 Down by 5, 4th Quarter
You score to make it 27-24. Go for 2 to tie?
A 2-point attempt at 49% is riskier than a near-certain PAT. With time remaining, take the tie.
🏆 Down by 14, Comeback
You score first TD to make it 14-7. Go for 2?
Too early in a comeback. Save 2-point attempts for when they matter most (reducing from 2-score to 1-score).
🎯 Down 15, Late Game
You need to score twice. You score first TD making it 15-7.
If you score again and kick both PATs: 15-15. But if you go for 2 now and make it: one TD + PAT wins 15-14. Getting 2 now reduces variance.